Will there be overlord season 4?
A quick answer is Yes.
Well check all the facts and latest information and decide yourself.
“Should we get going, a symbol of our guild? No, that’s not it. let us go, a symbol of our guild.” Ainz from Overlord.
Anime fans have always adored a plot with the antagonist as the lead.
The dark fantasy mixed with the isekai genre of Overlord has made it increasingly popular among the audience. Which eventually leads to it being renewed for not one or two but three other seasons.
However, what’s an anime that does not leave its viewers fuelling for more? Despite the three existing seasons of Overlord, its fans are still hoping for another sequel about Ainz’s life and mission. If you are also one of those, then you have come to the right place.
A variety of factors play a part in getting any anime renewed for another season. Here as well, we will consider the most vital one of these and make an accurate assumption about the possibility of Overlord 4 happening anytime soon.
Contents
What factors will help us determine the chances of Overlord 4 releasing?
Source Material
More than half of the anime series released are just adaptions from previously published light novels and manga. When such is the case, it is vital to look at its source material to conclude whether sufficient material is available to cover another season or not.
Overlord also falls in this category with it being based on the light novels written by Maruyama. This novel series started in 2013 and is still ongoing with 14 published volumes as of 2020.
The release speed of these novels is about one volume per year, and the author intends to finish it by its 17th installment.
Next, we need to decide how much of the content has previously been covered by the franchise. With Overlord being renewed for three seasons, many might think that most of the source material has already been adapted. So, this is also a green signal to overload s4.
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However, this is not the case as each season of the anime covered one volume. Hence, only the first three volumes have been adapted, and the remaining eleven volumes along with 13 manga are yet to be used.
To summarize, it is evident that sufficient source material is still available for another season of Overlord. The ongoing status only adds to the possibility of Overlord 4’s release and ensures no lacking of the source material while in production.
Fun fact: In the Web Novel story, Ainz was thought to be one of the Thirteen Heroes.
Popularity
It is a widely acclaimed view that the popularity of any series falls after every season. Hence, it is significant to conclude whether the popularity Overlord holds after its first three sequels are enough to motivate the franchise to produce it or not.
With Overlord already being renewed for three seasons, it is clear that its fan following was immensely dedicated to the show. We will analyze its current popularity using its google and social media activity along with the sale of its light novels.
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The franchise keeps the audience updated by its social media handle and website. Overlord’s official website last posted about its 14th volume meanwhile its Twitter account tweeted a few months back about its rebroadcast.
This social media handle hosts 103K followers and still manages to retweet fan-made art and memes.
Perhaps, the most exciting part about Overlord is its google trends. As stated above, the popularity of a series tends to decrease with every sequel.
However, this was not the case with Overlord, and its third season witnessed the highest peak in its google trends as compared to its previous two seasons. So, this also adds to the expectation from the fans for Overlord season 4.
The popularity of light novels also contributes to the fame of the franchise. Despite the slow-release speed of Overlord, it still managed to sell a fantastic amount of copies of its latest volume.
With 800K copies in print as of 2020, the popularity of light novels seems to go only upwards with time. This surely tells you a lot about the Overload fourth season.
To put it in simple terms, the fans of the series are still lively and enthusiastic about the show. The producers that another season of Overlord will be appreciated by its even massive dedicated fan following.
Production Costs
The sole aim behind adapting an anime series is to make a profit from it. Given the fact that Overlord got renewed for three seasons, it made enormous sums for the franchise. However, sequels tend to experience a drop in profit for the franchise.
A franchise only invests in a show where they are confident that it will do well monetary. For this purpose, we will look at the profit made by Overlord in the recent year to know if the franchise might still be interested in investing in it or not.
Let’s start with the Blu-ray sales of Overlord. The first season sold a whopping 12.5K copies, the second 7k while the third sold 6K copies. This drop is understandable given the unpopularity of Blu-rays now and still is relatively high when compared with other anime series.
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As stated above, the light novel of the series is doing exceptionally well in the market. Selling over 200K copies per volume, Overlord is included in the best-selling fair novel list and earns impressive profit to the author even with only one volume released annually.
Merchandise sales also add to the profit made by the franchise. Currently, it has about 20 figures in stock with three of those recently released and 250 products associated with the show.
Although these numbers are considerably less and were released mostly during its first season, the sales of the merchandise are relatively high.
The franchise came up with an Overlord Game called Mass of the Dead in 2018 for both Android and Apple. This game itself earned 500K dollars in March 2020 solely. Indeed, this is another success for the anime franchise.
The above-stated ways are only a few of the many ways through which a franchise earns a profit. But it is crystal clear through these that although a drop in the profit was evident with the release of Overlord’s third season, the franchise still earns vast sums from it.
Lack of funding and profit would not be a drawback with the fourth season of Overlord.
Fun fact: ALBEDO DIDN’T EXIST IN THE ORIGINAL WEB NOVEL
Will there be Overlord season 4?
The Overload 4 is on the card for sure. After taking a look at the above-stated aspect of the series, there is absolutely no reason for Overlord to not return to our television screens.
Although this might not be possible in 2020 given the pandemic situation worldwide, the new season might already be in production this time next year or in 2021 at most.
Until then, the fans of the show should continue waiting desperately for an official announcement by the franchise and watch show reruns for now.
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