Will there be Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry 2 coming for the fans?
Well, the answer lies in this guide.
Anime viewers are always quick to grow a liking for magical high school-based fantasy series. Meeting this criterion perfectly, Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry has since its released been adored by its viewers.
“Here, with my greatest weakness, I’ll defeat your greatest strength!” – Ikki Kurogane.
However, since its end in 2017, the franchise has made no official announcement regarding its second season. Keeping this in view, the only alternative that the anime enthusiasts are left with is to read the light novel and Manga the series is adapted on.
Every anime lover does not prefer this, though, and they might keep hoping for another season of the series. For this reason, we have written this article where we will estimate the possibility of Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry returning to our screens for a second season.
Hence, you might want to stick around until the very end to know if you should continue hoping for Stella to return to your screens or not.
Contents
Why has there not been Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry 2 yet?
Any anime series that is renewed for another season requires certain conditions to be met. These are the most significant factors contributing to a possible sequel and consist of the existing source material for the anime, its current popularity, and production costs.
Here, we will take a look at how well Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry did in these aspects. Using the statistics and data mentioned below, we will conclude the release of its second season. You should stick around until the very end if you also happen to have your fingers crossed in hopes of seeing Ikki and Stella once again.
Source Material
Fun fact: Ikki is often referred to as “Senpai” by his classmates. If he weren’t forced to repeat a year, he would have been a second-year student.
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It is known that most of the anime series are adaptions of famous light novel or manga series. When such is the case, we must state the status and available volumes in the author’s series.
This data helps us analyze approximately how much content is yet to be adapted and to determine if it is sufficient for another season or not.
Similarly, Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry has also been taken from the light novel series by Riku Misora. With eighteen published volumes as of 2020, this novel series is still in process.
Additionally, it has eleven volumes in its Manga with an anthology manga volume illustrated by multiple artists.
The release speed of an author is another essential in the process. This helps us know when we can expect more content to be released. The author published only one volume in 2020 and seemed to plan to end the series in the upcoming year or two.
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When a first season has already been released of an anime, an important distinction is to separate the previously covered content from the remaining one. Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry took range from the first three volumes, leaving about fifteen volumes yet to be covered.
Keeping in mind the statistics mentioned above, we can accurately conclude that Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry 2 does not lack in the source material. This ample amount of material supports the possibility of its season two happening.
Popularity
The popularity aspect is the deciding factor that tells whether the series deserved a sequel or not. In this part of the article, we look at the initial popularity of Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry, along with how it has fluctuated over time.
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An anime’s popularity is concluded through many factors, but here we will look at its generated google trends and social media activity. Inclusively, the light novel sales and merchandise’s popularity will be taken into account to come to an accurate conclusion. For me, the Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry season 2 is right on the cards.
Google Trends
According to statistics, the first season of an anime always witnesses the most significant peak in google trends. The same was the case with Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry reaching its peak with its release in 2015. However, it is important to note how this peak was still relatively less than that of many other anime series. Over time, it has fallen even further and continues to drop at an astonishing rate.
Social Media
An active social media presence of an anime indicates it’s still present popularity among the viewers. With the official website of Rakudai Kishi updating about three years ago about the news of its BD box release, it seems to do a lousy job at keeping the fans updated.
In contrast with this, the anime’s official Twitter handle was updated only a few months back regarding the series rebroadcast in Japan. This account has about 37K followers and does a better job by interacting with the show’s fans from time to time.
Light Novels
Light novels also help in determining the popularity of an anime series. Unfortunately, Rakudai Kishi had only about 1.5 million copies in print as of 2017. Even after releasing its latest volumes, an estimate of 2 million copies is made, which is still only moderate enough compared with other anime like Overlord.
Merchandise
Release of new figures and show associated goods is directly proportional to the growing popularity of the series. It is incredibly disappointing to state that no new merchandise has been announced for Rakudai Kishi for the last four years. One figure was in the plan but was canceled because of the non-existent demand for it.
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Although the series started on good terms, Rakudai Kishi has declined popularity-wise since its release. The falling google trends and lack of new merchandise are added drawbacks for the franchise and demonstrate their unwillingness to produce its sequel.
Production Costs
The sole aim of producing an anime is to make money from it. With the present drop that every series witnesses in their second season, it is essential for the first season of an anime to generate enough profit. Even after its decline in the second season, it turns out to be moderately profitable for the franchise.
Fun fact: Stella’s surname Vermillion means “Brilliant Red,” a reference to her name Crimson Princess.
Many sources are used to adds to the profit of the franchise. For now, we will look at the Blu-ray, merchandise, and light novel sales of Rakudai Kishi to estimate its profitability for the studio and author.
Blu-ray sales
Blu-ray sales were widely popular in 2015 when Rakudai Kishi was initially released. Even after this, the anime managed to sell only 3K copies per disks and about 700 copies of its BD box. These numbers themselves are only moderate enough and earned the franchise minimal profit.
Light novel sales
An estimated value for an anime adapted light novel series is between 40K to 70K copies. Selling only 10K copies with its recent volume and 15K copies with its preceding one, Rakudai Kishi falls behind in this aspect.
Merchandise
Merchandise sales add to the monetary sum of the franchise. As aforementioned, this anime has received no new merch for the past four years and only contains two figures of Stella and twenty-five show associated products. It is failing terribly with its lack of products and demand for merch.
Rakudai Kishi, No Cavalry failed to earn decent profit for its franchise and author. It probably led to minor losses for them and made it clear for the producers that its sequel is not worth investing in.
Should you expect a second season of Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry?
“Righteousness without results is just caprice.” – Ayase Ayatsuji.
In conclusion to the responses mentioned above received by the anime, it is evident that a second season of Rakudai Kishi No Cavalry is most probably not happening. The issue with this anime was not the source material but the declining popularity and profitability for the franchise.
With no profit or affirmative response to look up to, the studio house of Rakudai Kishi gave up on it and does not plan to continue with it anytime soon. If you are a series fan, you will have to resort to its light novel series, the last volume of which got recently translated into English, to carry on with the adventures of Ikki and Stella.
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